Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Will
Posts: 295
Joined: Mon Apr 30, 2012 2:30 pm

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby Will » Wed Feb 20, 2013 10:12 pm

Matched 1.
BU #808: Opened
BR #21: Opened
AU #21: Waiting
GM #21: Shelved
IN #21: Twisting and turning
CU #21: Shelved
Ti SE 21-50: Opened
OR #151: Opened
LM #21: Opened

QuantumCow
Posts: 35
Joined: Wed Sep 26, 2012 4:11 am

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby QuantumCow » Wed Feb 20, 2013 10:31 pm

maztec wrote:
QuantumCow wrote:Round 3 for me =]


Seriously, I think you're just cheating the statistics at this point. :)



Nah, statistics say I should last 3-4 rounds on average.

The funny thing about the statistics though is that every time you win, you can reset your statistics, since you have added information.

So, now that I know I've gotten through the first 2 rounds, statistics still say I should last 3-4 rounds after this, so now my expected value is 5-6 rounds. There's a brain bender for you =P The math all works out though.

pcad
Posts: 1295
Joined: Tue Apr 12, 2011 12:40 am
Location: Central Conneticut, USA

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby pcad » Wed Feb 20, 2013 11:20 pm

Matched 3 numbers. On to round 3.
Peter

Gunmetal Unopened
Blue, Green, Bronze, Silver, Gold, Purple Opened
Black V1 + V2, Orange, Red, Titanium, Lime Opened
HandMade Prototypes too scary to reassemble
Gold CE set in Clear Sleeves

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maztec
Posts: 1980
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 12:05 am
Location: USA

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby maztec » Wed Feb 20, 2013 11:50 pm

QuantumCow wrote:So, now that I know I've gotten through the first 2 rounds, statistics still say I should last 3-4 rounds after this, so now my expected value is 5-6 rounds. There's a brain bender for you =P The math all works out though.


Only because it is a random draw that has no exclusions. You reuse your numbers, they reuse theirs, and combined your odds from any arbitrary starting point are always the same, whereas your odds in the overall scheme of things adjusts on a curve.
OOOOOOOoo

pcad
Posts: 1295
Joined: Tue Apr 12, 2011 12:40 am
Location: Central Conneticut, USA

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby pcad » Thu Feb 21, 2013 12:17 am

Would the statistics change or not if we were able to choose new numbers for each round? My layman's opinion is that it would be the same odds. It would, however, be a royal headache for Chris and Joe. ;)
Peter

Gunmetal Unopened
Blue, Green, Bronze, Silver, Gold, Purple Opened
Black V1 + V2, Orange, Red, Titanium, Lime Opened
HandMade Prototypes too scary to reassemble
Gold CE set in Clear Sleeves

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ceagull333
Posts: 147
Joined: Sat Dec 26, 2009 4:50 pm
Location: Seattle, WA USA

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby ceagull333 » Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:12 am

Can someone clarify for me the "rules"? Is it correct that in each round everyone that gets at least one number moves on to the next round? Unless there are only three (or less) people with numbers and then they each get a purple? Then everyone is back in (except the winners) and it starts over?
BR110 Open GR296 Open GR Obs Open BU652 Open BLObs Open Black Obs Open AG104 Open Red Obs Open RD46 Open AU46 Open Purple (not right!)HM08LE (sealed)OR46 Open LM113 Open GM Open TI46 Open Aqua,CU on hand Indigo on order

pcad
Posts: 1295
Joined: Tue Apr 12, 2011 12:40 am
Location: Central Conneticut, USA

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby pcad » Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:22 am

Chris and Joe are the only ones that can give you the definitive answer. If you want my opinion, I think you've got it right.
Peter

Gunmetal Unopened
Blue, Green, Bronze, Silver, Gold, Purple Opened
Black V1 + V2, Orange, Red, Titanium, Lime Opened
HandMade Prototypes too scary to reassemble
Gold CE set in Clear Sleeves

User avatar
jerryloo71
Posts: 326
Joined: Sat Sep 26, 2009 11:56 am
Location: Singapore
Contact:

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby jerryloo71 » Thu Feb 21, 2013 1:29 am

Got two matches.....on to round 3 for me!

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AFKAN
Posts: 621
Joined: Thu Sep 30, 2010 1:36 pm
Location: Essex UK
Contact:

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby AFKAN » Thu Feb 21, 2013 10:03 am

I'm out :(
Graham:-)
Ex
AG00078 - 22-03-11
R00104 - 06-01-12
OR00053 -20-01-12
LM - Hmm
TI00032 - Let's Go!!!...
Ob
Blue - 09-10-10
Blue Pro - 09-12-11
Green - 03-11-10
Black - 12-11-10
Black v2 - 04-02-12
Red - So near and yet...

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Stingray14k
Posts: 207
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 11:57 am

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Postby Stingray14k » Thu Feb 21, 2013 10:54 am

i may proceed to round 3 :D
BU01583 - Opened
GR01806 - Opened
BR01587 - Opened
AG01532 - Opened
OR00178 - Opened


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