Search found 34 matches

by QuantumCow
Sat Feb 23, 2013 10:46 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Purple Lottery 1
Replies: 370
Views: 263737

Re: Purple Lottery rounds

On to round 4! Seems I picked the right numbers =] I matched 2 numbers in each of the first two rounds, and this round I matched 4 numbers!

*fingers crossed*
by QuantumCow
Wed Feb 20, 2013 10:31 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs
Replies: 270
Views: 202675

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Round 3 for me =] Seriously, I think you're just cheating the statistics at this point. :) Nah, statistics say I should last 3-4 rounds on average. The funny thing about the statistics though is that every time you win, you can reset your statistics, since you have added information. So, now that I...
by QuantumCow
Wed Feb 20, 2013 7:39 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs
Replies: 270
Views: 202675

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Agreed. My guess is two and a half to three months before the first winners. A long and agonizing loss for the fewer number people. Yet the human condition dictates that I still have hope even though the scientist/mathematician in me knows otherwise =] Hooray for the human condition! Once most of th...
by QuantumCow
Wed Feb 20, 2013 6:10 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs
Replies: 270
Views: 202675

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

My (very approximate) prediction for tonight's round is that 25% of the people left get knocked out, since many of the lower numbered people were already knocked out.
by QuantumCow
Wed Feb 20, 2013 6:08 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs
Replies: 270
Views: 202675

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

If you have 15 numbers, you are pretty much guaranteed to get a purple. (unless there's more than 10 15 numbered people, but I don't think there are). My prediction is that 1 or at absolute most 2 of the 15 numbered people won't get a purple.
by QuantumCow
Wed Feb 20, 2013 4:25 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs
Replies: 270
Views: 202675

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

If that's true, then I'd be happy if they just let the 40 in the lottery buy purples at a reasonable price =] 40 purples would still make it a super rare puzzle. They can even make a little bit of profit, and then everyone wins.
by QuantumCow
Tue Feb 19, 2013 6:11 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs
Replies: 270
Views: 202675

Re: Revomaze Competition! 10 X Revomaze Purple Up For Grabs

Some calcuations, although without much more of a conclusion: Based on Maztec's tabulation and extrapolation, 19% of people would have dropped out (excel spreadsheet attached). Most likely though, since roughly 1/3 of people dropped out, there are more lower number people, since they boost the expec...
by QuantumCow
Tue Feb 19, 2013 5:30 pm
Forum: Purple General
Topic: Purple Lottery 1
Replies: 370
Views: 263737

Re: Purple Lottery rounds

You're going to need like 20 options =P

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